K. Lierse S.K.vs
Liège
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 9/6/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
K. Lierse S.K. · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
K. Lierse S.K. 0-0 Liège
Original prediction
K. Lierse S.K.
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:26 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 36.4% | 38.3% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.31 | 27.5% | 26.9% | -0.7 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 36.0% | 34.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
K. Lierse S.K.
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
K. Lierse S.K. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20