K. Lierse S.K.vs
Francs Borains
COMPLETEDBelgium · Challenger Pro League · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Francs Borains · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (12%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
K. Lierse S.K. 3-0 Francs Borains
Original prediction
Francs Borains
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 13 September 2026 at 17:59 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.78 | 32.8% | 24.7% | -8.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.9% | 25.9% | -2.0 pts |
| Away | 2.31 | 39.4% | 49.4% | 10.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Francs Borains
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
49.4%
Francs Borains has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60