GGOALVIO

Juventus W logoJuventus WvsRoma W logoRoma W

COMPLETED

Italy · Serie A Cup Women · 9/19/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Roma W · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Juventus W 2-2 Roma W

Original prediction

Roma W

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 17 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.4736.3%35.0%-1.3 pts
Draw3.1128.8%27.7%-1.1 pts
Away2.5734.8%37.3%2.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.11 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–09%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Roma W

Probability

37.3%

Model confidence

37.3%

Roma W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventus WWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 1 · avg 1.40/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Roma WWWLWW

GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Juventus WRoma W
41.7Attack100.0
100.0Defence83.3
100.0Form75.0
84.6Power80.8
1.22xG1.32
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