GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Paulista · 7/11/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Juventus are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 2.00 scored and 5.00 conceded, while XV de Piracicaba are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 12.9-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 66.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.9% in the Copa Paulista, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

40.9%

Model confidence

40.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuventusL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/5.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
XV de PiracicabaWWLLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JuventusXV de Piracicaba
47.2Attack33.3
55.6Defence92.9
52.8Form69.0
53.9Power66.9
0.67xG0.85
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