Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventus · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
15%
MediumconfidenceJuventus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Oeste are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and juventus hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Copa Paulista, favouring Juventus with 14.7% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juventus
Probability
40.0%
Model confidence
14.7%
Juventus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JuventusDLWWL
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
OesteDLLWL
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
JuventusOeste
47.2Attack36.7
55.6Defence63.3
52.8Form43.3
53.9Power50.1
1.14xG0.88