Juventusvs
NEC Nijmegen
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa League · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventus 5-0 NEC Nijmegen
Original prediction
Juventus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 12:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.17 | 81.7% | 49.2% | -32.4 pts |
| Draw | 7.79 | 12.2% | 24.3% | 12.1 pts |
| Away | 15.54 | 6.1% | 26.4% | 20.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Juventus
Probability
49.2%
Model confidence
49.2%
Juventus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40