GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Juventus U23 are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Pergolettese are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventus U23 hold a 4.2-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 45.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Serie C - Girone A, favouring a draw with 14.4% confidence, a 44% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

31.5%

Model confidence

14.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventus U23DDWWD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PergoletteseDWDDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Juventus U23Pergolettese
50.0Attack38.6
50.0Defence56.1
50.0Form39.5
50.0Power45.8
1.26xG0.91
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