Juventus U23vs
Pergolettese
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventus U23 · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventus U23 0-0 Pergolettese
Original prediction
Juventus U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.80 | 50.4% | 42.1% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.18 | 28.5% | 29.9% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 4.31 | 21.0% | 28.0% | 6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.18 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.0–013%
Predicted outcome
Juventus U23
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Juventus U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80