Juventus U23vs
Lumezzane
COMPLETEDItaly · Serie C - Girone A · 10/13/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventus U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventus U23 0-0 Lumezzane
Original prediction
Juventus U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.13 | 42.8% | 37.0% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.30 | 27.7% | 28.8% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.09 | 29.5% | 34.2% | 4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.30 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–010%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Juventus U23
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Juventus U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40