GGOALVIO

Italy · Serie C - Girone A · 9/20/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Juventus U23 3-5 Albinoleffe

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2839.6%34.1%-5.5 pts
Draw3.0429.7%30.0%0.3 pts
Away2.9430.7%35.9%5.2 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–014%
  3. 3.0–113%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

30.0%

Model confidence

35.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventus U23LLDDW

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AlbinoleffeLDLDW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Juventus U23Albinoleffe
0.0Attack16.7
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form33.3
7.0Power48.3
0.96xG1.14
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