GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 10/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Juventude 0-0 São Bernardo, with an exact score probability of 24%.

Prediction record

Final result

Juventude 2-2 São Bernardo

Original prediction

Juventude

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.5460.2%47.0%-13.2 pts
Draw3.7524.8%31.1%6.3 pts
Away6.2115.0%21.9%6.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.2 pts

Projected Score

Juventude 0–0 São Bernardo

Exact score probability: 24%

Predicted outcome

Juventude

Probability

47.0%

Model confidence

47.0%

Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuventudeWWWLL

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
São BernardoLWDWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
JuventudeSão Bernardo
38.5Attack45.8
80.2Defence64.6
61.5Form46.9
61.5Power53.8
0.90xG0.58
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