Juventudevs
Nautico Recife
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 10/26/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juventude 1-0 Nautico Recife, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventude 4-0 Nautico Recife
Original prediction
Juventude
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.41 | 65.8% | 57.2% | -8.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.30 | 21.5% | 27.6% | 6.0 pts |
| Away | 7.28 | 12.7% | 15.2% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-8.5 pts
Projected Score
Juventude 1–0 Nautico Recife
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
57.2%
Model confidence
57.2%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JuventudeDDWWW
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Nautico RecifeDLLDW
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
JuventudeNautico Recife
40.2Attack38.2
77.5Defence58.8
59.8Form42.2
60.6Power48.0
1.11xG0.48