Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Juventude are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Londrina are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.7% in the Serie B, while Juventude holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 27% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
50.7%
Model confidence
50.7%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40