Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Juventude are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Guaporé are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold a 45.4-point power-rating edge (61.3 v 15.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.5% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Juventude holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
57.5%
Model confidence
57.5%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 1 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/1.00