GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie B · 4/15/2023, 9:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Juventude are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (LDL), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Botafogo SP are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (LWDD), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventude hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (60.7 v 51.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Serie B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 24% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuventudeLDL

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Botafogo SPLWDD

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.25/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
JuventudeBotafogo SP
36.5Attack41.3
81.0Defence65.1
60.3Form42.9
60.7Power51.1
0.85xG0.52
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