Juventudevs
Athletic Club
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie B · 9/13/2026, 9:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventude · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juventude 0-0 Athletic Club, with an exact score probability of 26%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventude 0-2 Athletic Club
Original prediction
Juventude
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 55.3% | 49.6% | -5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.8% | 31.7% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 5.47 | 17.0% | 18.7% | 1.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Projected Score
Juventude 0–0 Athletic Club
Exact score probability: 26%
Predicted outcome
Juventude
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Juventude has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JuventudeWDDWW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Athletic ClubLWLLL
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
JuventudeAthletic Club
37.0Attack38.3
81.5Defence63.0
61.7Form45.7
61.7Power50.4
0.91xG0.48