Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventud · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Juventud are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (LW), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Miramar are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Juventud hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (52.7 v 43.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the Segunda División, while Juventud holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juventud
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
Juventud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 1.50/0.50
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50