GGOALVIO

Uruguay · Primera División · 4/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Juventud are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

39.1%

Model confidence

39.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuventudDLWDL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Liverpool MontevideoLWLDD

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JuventudLiverpool Montevideo
37.7Attack37.7
50.7Defence66.7
34.8Form46.4
43.4Power52.2
0.79xG1.04
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