Juventudvs
Liverpool Montevideo
COMPLETEDUruguay · Primera División · 4/25/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Juventud are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Liverpool Montevideo are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Liverpool Montevideo hold an 8.8-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 52.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.1% in the Primera División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20