JuventudvsAtletico-MG

Juventud are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.