GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera C · 8/29/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Juventud Unida are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mercedes are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Mercedes hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (51.1 v 54.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.6% in the Primera C, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.7%

Model confidence

33.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventud UnidaDWWDL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
MercedesLDWWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Juventud UnidaMercedes
36.4Attack33.3
68.2Defence79.7
43.9Form47.8
51.1Power54.2
0.53xG0.59
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