Juventud Unidavs
El Porvenir
COMPLETEDArgentina · Primera C · 9/12/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juventud Unida 0-0 El Porvenir, with an exact score probability of 29%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud Unida 0-1 El Porvenir
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.40 | 37.4% | 37.2% | -0.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.68 | 33.4% | 33.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.07 | 29.2% | 28.9% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.5 pts
Projected Score
Juventud Unida 0–0 El Porvenir
Exact score probability: 29%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.9%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Juventud UnidaLWWLW
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
El PorvenirLWDWL
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Juventud UnidaEl Porvenir
39.5Attack27.2
66.7Defence69.1
46.9Form40.7
52.5Power48.3
0.80xG0.49