Juventud Unida Univ.vs
Santamarina
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juventud Unida Univ. · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juventud Unida Univ. 0-0 Santamarina, with an exact score probability of 42%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud Unida Univ. 1-0 Santamarina
Original prediction
Juventud Unida Univ.
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.0% | 45.6% | -15.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 26.8% | 38.9% | 12.0 pts |
| Away | 7.41 | 12.1% | 15.5% | 3.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.4 pts
Projected Score
Juventud Unida Univ. 0–0 Santamarina
Exact score probability: 42%
Predicted outcome
Juventud Unida Univ.
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
45.6%
Juventud Unida Univ. has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60