Juventud Torremolinosvs
Real Murcia
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/24/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Murcia · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-1 (12%), 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud Torremolinos 1-0 Real Murcia
Original prediction
Real Murcia
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.21 | 28.4% | 25.9% | -2.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.34 | 27.3% | 27.3% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 2.06 | 44.3% | 46.8% | 2.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–112%
- 2.1–112%
- 3.0–212%
Predicted outcome
Real Murcia
Probability
46.8%
Model confidence
46.8%
Real Murcia has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80