Juventud Torremolinosvs
Gimnastic
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/10/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gimnastic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud Torremolinos 2-2 Gimnastic
Original prediction
Gimnastic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.85 | 32.0% | 30.8% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 28.2% | 28.7% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.29 | 39.8% | 40.5% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.22 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Gimnastic
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Gimnastic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80