Juventud Torremolinosvs
Algeciras
COMPLETEDSpain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 9/26/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Juventud Torremolinos 0-0 Algeciras, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juventud Torremolinos 1-2 Algeciras
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.76 | 32.8% | 34.9% | 2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.4% | 30.2% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 2.39 | 37.9% | 34.9% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.9 pts
Projected Score
Juventud Torremolinos 0–0 Algeciras
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.2%
Model confidence
34.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20