GGOALVIO

Juventud de Bernal logoJuventud de BernalvsProvincial logoProvincial

COMPLETED

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 4/9/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Juventud de Bernal are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Provincial are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLDWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Provincial hold an 8.2-point power-rating edge (18.4 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventud de BernalLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
ProvincialDLDWL

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Juventud de BernalProvincial
20.0Attack23.3
6.7Defence26.7
13.3Form23.3
18.4Power26.7
1.08xG0.97
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