GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 7/29/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Estrella Del Sur · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Juventud de Bernal are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Estrella Del Sur are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Estrella Del Sur hold a 49.2-point power-rating edge (18.4 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.2% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Estrella Del Sur holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Estrella Del Sur

Probability

80.2%

Model confidence

80.2%

Estrella Del Sur has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventud de BernalDLLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Estrella Del SurWWLDL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Juventud de BernalEstrella Del Sur
20.0Attack51.9
6.7Defence76.5
13.3Form71.6
18.4Power67.7
0.32xG2.35
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