GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 9/30/2024, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belgrano Zarate · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Juventud de Bernal are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Belgrano Zarate are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Belgrano Zarate hold a 35.0-point power-rating edge (18.4 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.3% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Belgrano Zarate holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belgrano Zarate

Probability

50.3%

Model confidence

50.3%

Belgrano Zarate has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventud de BernalLDLLL

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Belgrano ZarateDWDLL

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Juventud de BernalBelgrano Zarate
20.0Attack25.0
6.7Defence80.6
13.3Form47.2
18.4Power53.5
0.34xG1.09
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