GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Promocional Amateur · 3/25/2024, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Juventud de Bernal are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.25 conceded, while Atletico Pilar are 0W-1D-3L in their last 4 (DLLL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.75 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico Pilar hold an 11.1-point power-rating edge (18.4 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juventud de BernalLLWD

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/2.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Atletico PilarDLLL

GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.50/2.75

BTTS 1/4O2.5 2/4
Juventud de BernalAtletico Pilar
20.0Attack26.7
6.7Defence40.0
13.3Form16.7
18.4Power29.5
0.90xG1.08
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