Juvenes / Doganavs
Virtus
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 10/23/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Virtus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 0-2 (10%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juvenes / Dogana 0-1 Virtus
Original prediction
Virtus
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 08:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 7.96 | 11.3% | 20.2% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.21 | 21.4% | 23.5% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.34 | 67.3% | 56.4% | -10.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.34 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Virtus
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
56.4%
Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Juvenes / DoganaLLLLL
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VirtusWWWWW
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Juvenes / DoganaVirtus
40.0Attack73.3
53.3Defence86.7
20.0Form86.7
37.1Power81.2
0.97xG1.84