GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Campionato · 9/30/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Virtus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Juvenes / Dogana are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DWD), averaging 1.67 scored and 0.67 conceded, while Virtus are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Virtus hold a 27.4-point power-rating edge (50.9 v 78.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.0% in the Campionato, while Virtus holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Virtus

Probability

65.0%

Model confidence

65.0%

Virtus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juvenes / DoganaDWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.67/0.67

BTTS 2/3O2.5 1/3
VirtusWW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00

BTTS 0/2O2.5 0/2
Juvenes / DoganaVirtus
51.5Attack67.8
45.5Defence77.8
51.5Form87.8
50.9Power78.3
0.83xG2.21
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