GGOALVIO

San-Marino · Coppa Titano · 9/27/2023, 7:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Libertas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Juvenes / Dogana are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Libertas are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Libertas hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (15.8 v 39.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.8% in the Coppa Titano, while Libertas holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Libertas

Probability

38.8%

Model confidence

38.8%

Libertas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Juvenes / DoganaWD

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
LibertasLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/3.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Juvenes / DoganaLibertas
16.7Attack66.7
0.0Defence25.0
16.7Form33.3
15.8Power39.6
1.42xG1.60
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