Juvenes / Doganavs
Faetano
COMPLETEDSan-Marino · Campionato · 8/28/2026, 7:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juvenes / Dogana · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juvenes / Dogana 4-0 Faetano
Original prediction
Juvenes / Dogana
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 60.8% | 65.6% | 4.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.68 | 24.5% | 17.8% | -6.7 pts |
| Away | 6.11 | 14.8% | 16.6% | 1.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Juvenes / Dogana
Probability
65.6%
Model confidence
65.6%
Juvenes / Dogana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40