Juticalpavs
CD Marathon
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 9/21/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
CD Marathon · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Juticalpa 0-2 CD Marathon, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Juticalpa 3-2 CD Marathon
Original prediction
CD Marathon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.88 | 13.2% | 11.6% | -1.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.4% | 18.9% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 1.40 | 64.4% | 69.5% | 5.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.0 pts
Projected Score
Juticalpa 0–2 CD Marathon
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
CD Marathon
Probability
69.5%
Model confidence
69.5%
CD Marathon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JuticalpaLLWLL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
CD MarathonLWDWW
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
JuticalpaCD Marathon
23.8Attack57.1
19.0Defence85.7
14.3Form81.0
23.7Power74.9
0.58xG2.33