Juticalpavs
Atlético Choloma
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 10/17/2026, 11:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Atlético Choloma · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-0 (15%), 0-1 (15%), 1-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juticalpa 1-2 Atlético Choloma
Original prediction
Atlético Choloma
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 01:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 38.6% | 29.8% | -8.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.26 | 27.7% | 28.0% | 0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.7% | 42.1% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.69 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–015%
- 2.0–115%
- 3.1–114%
Predicted outcome
Atlético Choloma
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Atlético Choloma has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00