Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Juárez W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 47.0-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toluca W
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00