Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juárez W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Juárez W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tijuana W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Juárez W hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Juárez W holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 62% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juárez W
Probability
49.6%
Model confidence
49.6%
Juárez W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20