Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juárez W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Juárez W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Pachuca W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Juárez W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juárez W
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Juárez W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80