Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juárez W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Juárez W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Pachuca W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pachuca W hold a 5.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.7% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Juárez W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juárez W
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
36.7%
Juárez W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 9 · GA 13 · avg 1.80/2.60