Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juárez W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Juárez W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Necaxa W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Juárez W hold a 21.2-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 26.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Juárez W holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 59% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juárez W
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Juárez W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40
GF 5 · GA 17 · avg 1.00/3.40