Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juárez W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Juárez W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while León W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and León W hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Juárez W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juárez W
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Juárez W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 9 · GA 15 · avg 1.80/3.00