Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juárez W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Juárez W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while León W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and León W hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 59.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Juárez W holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Juárez W
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Juárez W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00