Juárez Wvs
Cruz Azul W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 8/30/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Juárez W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Juárez W 1-0 Cruz Azul W
Original prediction
Juárez W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.4% | 48.6% | -0.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.4% | 24.2% | -1.2 pts |
| Away | 3.57 | 25.2% | 27.2% | 2.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–07%
Predicted outcome
Juárez W
Probability
48.6%
Model confidence
48.6%
Juárez W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80