Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junkeren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Junkeren are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Ull/Kisa are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Junkeren hold a 22.4-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 24.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 67.3% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Junkeren holds the strongest overall chance at 67% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junkeren
Probability
67.3%
Model confidence
67.3%
Junkeren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 7 · GA 20 · avg 1.40/4.00