Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junkeren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Junkeren 1-0 Skeid
Original prediction
Junkeren
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.29 | 39.4% | 47.5% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.85 | 23.5% | 20.6% | -2.9 pts |
| Away | 2.44 | 37.1% | 32.0% | -5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Junkeren
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Junkeren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JunkerenDDLWL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SkeidWDLLL
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JunkerenSkeid
46.3Attack50.0
42.6Defence33.3
40.7Form31.5
44.9Power38.5
2.10xG1.60