Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junkeren · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Junkeren 0-2 Rana
Original prediction
Junkeren
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.11 | 43.0% | 43.4% | 0.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.89 | 23.4% | 22.7% | -0.6 pts |
| Away | 2.70 | 33.7% | 33.9% | 0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Junkeren
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Junkeren has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
JunkerenWWDDL
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
RanaLLLWD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JunkerenRana
48.3Attack56.7
45.0Defence36.7
46.7Form40.0
48.5Power46.5
2.06xG1.76