Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grorud · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Junkeren are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (WLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Grorud are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Grorud hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (46.7 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.7% in the 2. Division - Group 2, while Grorud holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Grorud
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Grorud has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.67/2.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40