Juniorvs
Fortaleza FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 3/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Junior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fortaleza FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Junior hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.8% in the Primera A, while Junior holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
14.8%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20