Juniorvs
Deportes Tolima
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera A · 1/18/2026, 11:20:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Junior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Deportes Tolima are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Deportes Tolima hold a 2.9-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.2% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 33% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.2%
Model confidence
37.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80