Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Junior · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Junior are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Chico are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Junior hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 30.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 17.2% in the Primera A, while Junior holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Junior
Probability
75.4%
Model confidence
17.2%
Junior has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80