GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera A · 3/24/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Junior are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bucaramanga are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Junior hold a 3.6-point power-rating edge (55.9 v 52.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.0% in the Primera A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.0%

Model confidence

37.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

JuniorLWLDW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
BucaramangaDDWLW

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
JuniorBucaramanga
48.1Attack46.4
61.7Defence65.2
54.3Form44.9
55.9Power52.3
1.09xG0.96
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